Author Archives: 123stilllearning456

About 123stilllearning456

As a management consultant I am passionately interested in talent management and risk/uncertainty issues. In the area of talent management I propose that we seek strategies that look beyond the staffing/employee centric frames of reference. I have been frustrated at the "closing down on possibilities" by these more conventional staffing/employee centric approaches. I have been impressed where people have found systematic solutions to their talent management issues by going beyond the conventional approaches. In the area of risk and uncertainty, I am interested in making this topic relevant to more normal decision making situations. My conceptual foundation is to use the micro-economist's fixed/variable cost theme. I also think it is important to look at these issues for people through their emotional and psychological lens. As a premise I think risk and uncertainty only exist where there is a person who cares about possible events and its consequences. Hence, risk and uncertainty are social based concepts (no sentience, no risk and uncertainty). A major influence on my thinking in this area is Nassim Taleb of "Black Swan" fame. This BLOG provides me with an opportunity to express my thoughts on topics that interest me. As this is an online diary, content is more important to me than polish. I apologize if this distracts from readers' enjoyment and learning. Still I find this a useful way to live up to my namesake, learn more from others and hopefully provoke creative thoughts and ideas in others.

How we look at and for things creates uncertainty and risk in our lives

A recent article by Andrew Coyne (The Vancouver Sun – System makes losers out of winners) comments on how the “first past the post” process for elections creates uncertainty in making election predictions by pollsters and other pundits (most notably … Continue reading

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Reflections on: When We “Manage” Other People, We Take Away Their Choices

What makes for a great learning moment? For me, it is when I am reading, hearing, or observing something that creates the kind of following responses: Yes, yes, yes, yes, but! No, no, no, no, but! I recently had such a moment … Continue reading

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Arrogance and Ignorance: Self Indulgent Sources of Uncertainty

Emotionally and psychologically, uncertainty is an unanticipated and surprising event or moment. It can be big (sudden illness or economic collapse) or small (tripping over an unseen snag). It can be harmful or even delightful (think of the received unexpected … Continue reading

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Part 3: A Parable about Uncertainty and Risk – Playing with a visual Metaphor

  In part 2 (https://123stilllearning456.wordpress.com/2014/08/06/part-2-a-parable-about-uncertainty-and-risk-playing-with-a-visual-metaphor/) I introduced and explored the notion that what we get out of our experiences is less than what we actually experience. To reflect what we ‘actually get out of our experiences I introduced the notion … Continue reading

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Part 2: A Parable about Uncertainty and Risk – Playing with a visual Metaphor

In part1 (Part 1: A Parable about Uncertainty and Risk – Playing with a visual Metaphor) I introduced a visual metaphor to think about how uncertainty and risk (U&r) into our lives. I left off this post with two questions:1. Does … Continue reading

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Part 1: A Parable about Uncertainty and Risk – Playing with a visual Metaphor

The next few posts are going to be a synthesis piece of work for me and hopefully of interest and use to the reader. It is about uncertainty and risk (U&r) through two lens: that of me and you from … Continue reading

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Change Management Failure, OD, and the connection to Uncertainty and Risk

I recently participated in a Linkedin discussion (Why Do 70% of All Change Efforts Fail?) on the disappointment that up to 70% of all change management efforts fail in some significant manner or other. I was intrigued for a number … Continue reading

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