Tag Archives: uncertainty

How we look at and for things creates uncertainty and risk in our lives

A recent article by Andrew Coyne (The Vancouver Sun – System makes losers out of winners) comments on how the “first past the post” process for elections creates uncertainty in making election predictions by pollsters and other pundits (most notably … Continue reading

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Why we love rules in our lives!

This post explores a line of speculation on why we clamour for rules on complex issues in our lives. As speculation, this means I will lay a line reasoning with my critical assumptions on the table so to speak. Hence, … Continue reading

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2: Let’s just call it “Uncertainty” that is, call a moratorium on the term “Risk”

Thinking about distributions and odds and their limited value in living and dealing with uncertainty and risk some more. I am not anti-statistics. In many aspects of my work I make use of various stochastic techniques. Used properly in analysis … Continue reading

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Uncertainty, Strategy, and Wisdom: Making do with the best you have

Nassim Taleb is purportedly not a big fan of strategy, because of the implications of uncertainty on long term plans. Yet, organizations that are in businesses where significant capital and infrastructure like investments are necessary need to do long term … Continue reading

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Uncertainty, Gene Kelly and the chance of rain today

If you have seen the great Gene Kelly movie “Singing in the Rain” you intuitively get what it means to be anti-fragile. Just watch the song and dance with the same name as the movie. Nassim Taleb suggests that there … Continue reading

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Why not: “Fool me once and shame on me.”?

This post is a thought piece that lays out the question more than any answer. There is an old adage: “Fool me once and shame on you, fool me twice and shame on me.” Why do we need a second … Continue reading

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Performance Management and Innovation Value

This post is a bit of thinking piece where I explore the implications on how organizations mirror/reflect their value for innovation in their performance management system. My inspiration is from Nassim Taleb’s answer to the question: “How do you innovate?” … Continue reading

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